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Red32
129432.8
410411.5
491814.1
Blue77
292820.3
307034.7
418024.8
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48762040601001201403277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.81.0
24.123.2
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
blue by 1.8
34.70.8
29.029.7
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
4918
#23
14.11.0
10.79.7
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.7
blue by 10.6
4180
#18
24.80.8
20.821.5
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Third
4104
#19
11.51.0
11.910.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
blue by 8.8
2928
#24
20.30.8
15.816.5
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed56%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed32%Ensemble oddsEarned