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Red62
498020.0
417318.0
357417.6
Blue44
32689.4
297618.0
131829.0
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49562040801006244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4980
#16
20.01.0
18.119.1
Auto6.0
Teleop11.4
End2.6
blue by 9.1
29.00.4
27.627.2
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Second
4173
#12
18.01.0
13.014.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Level
2976
#15
18.00.4
16.916.5
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.7
Third
3574
#28
17.61.0
14.415.3
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End0.3
red by 8.2
3268
#33
9.40.4
5.55.1
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed