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Red76
805116.1
198325.4
307034.7
Blue58
49228.3
241216.7
491814.1
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81482040601001207658

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.70.5
29.730.2
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
red by 6.4
492
#10
28.30.7
24.325.0
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End2.4
Second
1983
#21
25.40.5
23.123.5
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 8.7
2412
#29
16.70.7
13.614.3
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3
Third
8051
#27
16.10.5
16.416.8
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End1.8
red by 2.0
4918
#23
14.10.7
9.710.4
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned30%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed