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Red64
159524.7
558814.0
36034.3
Blue86
582727.1
204637.9
292820.3
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6383401001201406486

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#4
34.30.3
28.829.1
Auto14.6
Teleop16.2
End3.4
blue by 3.6
37.90.5
34.435.0
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
Second
1595
#13
24.70.3
18.318.6
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End2.6
blue by 2.4
27.10.5
22.122.6
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End2.9
Third
5588
#20
14.00.3
12.813.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
blue by 6.3
2928
#24
20.30.5
16.517.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
55%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed39%Ensemble oddsMissed