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Red76
902323.0
491814.1
903626.9
Blue71
60767.3
204637.9
94821.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions607920401001201407671

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.91.3
25.626.9
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
blue by 11.0
37.90.1
37.337.4
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
Second
9023
#25
23.01.3
16.317.6
Auto10.0
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 1.0
948
#17
21.90.1
26.826.9
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
Third
4918
#23
14.11.3
14.615.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.7
red by 6.8
6076
#34
7.30.1
4.84.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed