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Red54
32689.4
413116.8
49228.3
Blue107
129432.8
159524.7
307034.7
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51962040608012014016054107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#10
28.30.2
28.028.2
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End2.4
blue by 6.4
34.71.4
32.333.7
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
4131
#22
16.80.2
16.716.9
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8
blue by 16.0
32.81.4
26.527.9
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
Third
3268
#33
9.40.2
6.66.8
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 15.3
1595
#13
24.71.4
22.323.7
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed