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Red49
241216.7
944226.4
498020.0
Blue55
417318.0
189926.5
410411.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66490204060801001204955

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#11
26.41.3
24.122.8
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
blue by 0.2
26.50.2
20.620.8
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Second
4980
#16
20.01.3
20.319.0
Auto6.0
Teleop11.4
End2.6
red by 2.0
4173
#12
18.00.2
15.916.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Third
2412
#29
16.71.3
13.512.2
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3
red by 5.3
4104
#19
11.50.2
10.310.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsMissed54%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed