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Red109
189926.5
36034.3
944226.4
Blue35
357417.6
297618.0
491814.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8653020406010012014010935

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#4
34.32.3
30.132.5
Auto14.6
Teleop16.2
End3.4
red by 16.3
2976
#15
18.01.1
19.017.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.7
Second
26.52.3
20.823.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
red by 8.9
3574
#28
17.61.1
16.215.1
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End0.3
Third
9442
#11
26.42.3
22.825.2
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
red by 12.2
4918
#23
14.11.1
17.015.9
Auto3.5
Teleop7.9
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
87%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed