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Red80
418024.8
48825.1
417318.0
Blue56
805116.1
204637.9
824814.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7174204060801001201408056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
488
#14
25.10.4
26.426.7
Auto8.3
Teleop15.9
End0.9
blue by 12.8
37.92.0
37.435.4
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
Second
4180
#18
24.80.4
22.322.6
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
red by 8.6
8051
#27
16.12.0
15.413.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
4173
#12
18.00.4
16.116.5
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
red by 3.8
8248
#30
14.22.0
13.611.6
Auto4.6
Teleop8.0
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
81%Melody oddsEarned89%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsEarned