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Red78
746120.7
582727.1
241216.7
Blue37
945014.4
32689.4
60767.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions712304060801001207837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.11.3
25.426.7
Auto8.8
Teleop15.4
End2.9
red by 12.7
9450
#32
14.40.7
13.514.2
Auto3.1
Teleop8.2
End3.1
Second
7461
#26
20.71.3
20.121.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.5
End0.5
red by 11.3
3268
#33
9.40.7
6.87.5
Auto3.6
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Third
2412
#29
16.71.3
13.314.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3
red by 9.4
6076
#34
7.30.7
6.26.9
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
73%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed