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Red100
198325.4
944226.4
159524.7
Blue87
902323.0
805116.1
36034.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846905010015010087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#11
26.41.7
25.226.9
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
blue by 7.9
360
#4
34.31.5
32.534.0
Auto14.6
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Second
1983
#21
25.41.7
25.227.0
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 2.5
9023
#25
23.01.5
18.119.7
Auto10.0
Teleop12.5
End0.5
Third
1595
#13
24.71.7
23.625.3
Auto4.6
Teleop17.5
End2.6
red by 8.6
8051
#27
16.11.5
13.414.9
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
64%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed