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Red58
418024.8
94821.9
413116.8
Blue84
307034.7
131829.0
558814.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71874060801001201405884

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4180
#18
24.80.5
22.622.1
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
blue by 9.9
34.70.5
34.034.4
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
948
#17
21.90.5
26.325.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
blue by 7.1
29.00.5
26.927.3
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End2.5
Third
4131
#22
16.80.5
17.116.6
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8
red by 2.8
5588
#20
14.00.5
16.216.7
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned90%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed44%Ensemble oddsMissed