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Red119
902323.0
129432.8
204637.9
Blue44
903626.9
297618.0
944226.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1018120406012014016018011944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.4
36.336.8
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
red by 11.0
26.90.7
28.427.7
Auto7.2
Teleop16.7
End3.0
Second
32.80.4
31.331.7
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
red by 6.5
9442
#11
26.40.7
27.927.2
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
Third
9023
#25
23.00.4
21.421.8
Auto10.0
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 5.0
2976
#15
18.00.7
19.518.8
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.7