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Red98
189926.5
292820.3
131829.0
Blue79
241216.7
417318.0
418024.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8261020401001201401609879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.4
27.728.1
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 4.3
4180
#18
24.80.5
24.324.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Second
26.50.4
25.225.6
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
red by 8.6
4173
#12
18.00.5
17.518.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Third
2928
#24
20.30.4
19.019.3
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9
red by 3.6
2412
#29
16.70.5
16.316.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3