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Red41
418018.1
94820.0
49189.7
Blue50
368113.3
177826.2
824811.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365002060801004150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#16
20.00.2
16.917.1
Auto5.6
Teleop14.1
End0.2
blue by 6.2
26.20.7
17.318.0
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Second
18.10.2
9.19.3
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
red by 4.8
3681
#12
13.30.7
13.714.4
Auto6.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Third
4918
#24
9.70.2
8.18.3
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End2.3
blue by 1.8
8248
#14
11.60.7
12.613.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned