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Red30
241213.2
131816.6
45127.1
Blue73
418018.1
291037.0
408916.9
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4563020801001203073

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#17
16.61.4
18.617.2
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End2.3
blue by 20.4
37.02.0
30.532.5
Auto15.2
Teleop21.0
End0.8
Second
2412
#26
13.21.4
13.612.2
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End1.0
blue by 4.9
18.12.0
9.311.3
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Third
4512
#33
7.11.4
10.69.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
blue by 9.8
4089
#27
16.92.0
15.117.1
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed