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Red51
824811.6
762714.7
582716.4
Blue41
35884.9
293018.9
32686.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38420501001505141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5827
#10
16.41.2
11.913.1
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 2.5
2930
#23
18.90.1
20.620.5
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
7627
#21
14.71.2
9.911.1
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End3.2
red by 8.4
3268
#31
6.30.1
7.97.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Third
8248
#14
11.61.2
13.314.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
red by 6.7
3588
#25
4.90.1
8.88.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed