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Red46
468221.7
491511.5
451316.2
Blue43
903617.2
304911.6
594116.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483602060804643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
17.317.2
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
red by 4.5
9036
#13
17.20.8
16.116.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Second
16.20.1
13.813.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
red by 0.3
5941
#18
16.00.8
10.211.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
4915
#30
11.50.1
10.910.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 0.1
3049
#20
11.60.8
7.98.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned