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Red19
417310.0
593710.4
29034.4
Blue47
252224.6
413115.7
49189.7
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29460102040506070801947

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5937
#32
10.41.3
11.19.9
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 14.2
24.60.3
20.020.3
Auto11.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
4173
#22
10.01.3
12.511.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
blue by 5.7
4131
#15
15.70.3
11.111.4
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
Third
2903
#29
4.41.3
4.63.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End0.5
blue by 5.3
4918
#24
9.70.3
8.38.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed