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Red15
9495.0
45127.1
491511.5
Blue23
824811.6
131816.6
35884.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304301020405060701523

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4915
#30
11.51.4
15.313.9
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 5.1
1318
#17
16.61.4
15.914.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
4512
#33
7.11.4
8.77.2
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
blue by 4.5
8248
#14
11.61.5
15.013.5
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Third
949
#34
5.01.4
4.63.2
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
red by 0.1
3588
#25
4.91.4
6.75.3
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed