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Red49
945011.6
418018.1
368113.3
Blue67
417310.0
468221.7
298018.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4247203060704967

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.10.1
13.913.9
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
blue by 3.7
21.70.8
18.018.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
Second
3681
#12
13.30.1
12.913.0
Auto6.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
blue by 4.9
18.10.8
15.115.9
Auto5.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Third
9450
#19
11.60.1
11.511.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.8
red by 1.7
4173
#22
10.00.8
9.09.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed