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Red60
451316.2
582716.4
94820.0
Blue41
32686.3
445019.2
593710.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55290204060801006041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
948
#16
20.00.3
18.318.7
Auto5.6
Teleop14.1
End0.2
red by 0.8
19.20.9
15.316.2
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Second
5827
#10
16.40.3
13.513.9
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
red by 6.0
5937
#32
10.41.0
8.69.5
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Third
16.20.3
14.514.9
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
red by 10.0
3268
#31
6.30.9
5.86.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed