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Red49
9495.0
413115.7
304911.6
Blue43
63506.5
408916.9
293018.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26490204060804943

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4131
#15
15.70.8
13.914.7
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 3.2
2930
#23
18.90.1
18.218.4
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
3049
#20
11.60.8
8.89.7
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 5.3
4089
#27
16.90.1
17.217.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Third
949
#34
5.00.8
3.24.0
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 1.5
6350
#28
6.50.1
6.16.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed