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Red52
63506.5
593710.4
468221.7
Blue35
903617.2
824811.6
491511.5
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions365502060801005235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.7
18.719.4
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
red by 4.5
9036
#13
17.22.0
19.317.3
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Second
5937
#32
10.40.7
9.510.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 1.2
8248
#14
11.62.0
14.312.3
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Third
6350
#28
6.50.7
6.36.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.8
blue by 5.0
4915
#30
11.52.2
13.911.8
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed