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Red56
241213.2
36027.0
413115.7
Blue55
252224.6
451316.2
32686.3
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614320801005655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#2
27.00.3
27.227.5
Auto13.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 2.5
24.61.2
19.821.0
Auto11.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
4131
#15
15.70.3
14.715.0
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
blue by 0.5
16.21.2
14.916.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Third
2412
#26
13.20.3
11.011.3
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End1.0
red by 6.9
3268
#31
6.31.2
6.77.9
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsEarned