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Red70
131816.6
304911.6
177826.2
Blue36
63506.5
945011.6
582716.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55330204060807036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.22.0
22.124.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 9.8
5827
#10
16.40.1
13.913.8
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
Second
1318
#17
16.62.0
14.516.5
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End2.3
red by 5.0
9450
#19
11.60.1
11.611.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Third
3049
#20
11.62.0
10.612.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End2.1
red by 5.2
6350
#28
6.50.1
6.96.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed