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Red30
593710.4
35884.9
368113.3
Blue63
594116.0
445019.2
241213.2
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29490204060803063

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3681
#12
13.30.1
12.512.6
Auto6.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
blue by 6.0
19.21.3
17.118.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Second
5937
#32
10.40.1
10.310.4
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
blue by 5.6
5941
#18
16.01.3
13.715.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
3588
#25
4.90.1
5.65.7
Auto1.5
Teleop2.0
End1.4
blue by 8.3
2412
#26
13.21.4
11.312.7
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
8%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed