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Red21
491511.5
945011.6
131816.6
Blue29
29034.4
32686.3
94820.0
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47350204060802129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1318
#17
16.61.5
17.616.1
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End2.3
blue by 3.4
948
#16
20.01.2
20.018.8
Auto5.6
Teleop14.1
End0.2
Second
9450
#19
11.61.5
11.910.4
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.8
red by 5.4
3268
#31
6.31.2
7.56.3
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Third
4915
#30
11.51.6
11.39.7
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.6
red by 7.1
2903
#29
4.41.2
5.64.4
Auto1.5
Teleop2.5
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed