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Red49
468221.7
293018.9
241213.2
Blue77
177826.2
451316.2
445019.2
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5566204060801001204977

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.1
20.520.3
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
blue by 4.5
26.20.7
24.024.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Second
2930
#23
18.90.1
17.717.5
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
blue by 0.3
19.20.7
18.419.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.2
Third
2412
#26
13.20.2
12.712.6
Auto7.7
Teleop4.4
End1.0
blue by 3.1
16.20.7
15.716.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed42%Ensemble oddsMissed