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Qual 112024 Storm Surge
Red39
7493.8
99965.1
404332.4
Blue102
36369.2
669620.0
644332.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525440506070809010039102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#1
32.40.6
31.8→31.2
Auto13.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
blue by 0.3
6443
#3
32.72.9
25.0→27.9
Auto10.7
Teleop20.0
End2.1
Second
9996
#15
5.10.9
7.1→6.1
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End0.5
blue by 14.9
6696
#5
20.02.9
17.9→20.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End1.8
Third
749
#22
3.80.6
3.7→3.1
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End0.3
blue by 5.4
3636
#10
9.22.9
5.0→7.9
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed