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Qual 102024 Storm Surge
Red43
634313.8
13599.7
154024.9
Blue42
299012.5
999910.0
281126.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495601001502004342

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1540
#8
24.90.1
26.2→26.0
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End3.9
blue by 1.2
2811
#6
26.10.5
28.0→27.4
Auto8.4
Teleop13.3
End4.4
Second
6343
#7
13.80.1
12.7→12.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End1.8
red by 1.3
2990
#23
12.50.5
13.7→13.2
Auto2.5
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Third
1359
#20
9.70.1
6.3→6.2
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End2.8
blue by 0.3
9999
#11
10.00.8
5.9→5.1
Auto0.3
Teleop9.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed33%Ensemble oddsMissed