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Red20
853211.0
252124.8
273311.2
Blue36
546822.9
99941.3
9556.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5925040801001201402036

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#12
24.82.1
24.922.8
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 1.9
5468
#2Sur
22.90.6
18.619.1
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Second
2733
#14
11.22.1
9.57.4
Auto5.7
Teleop2.8
End2.7
red by 4.9
955
#19
6.30.6
3.03.6
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Third
8532
#16
11.02.1
14.912.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End0.7
red by 9.7
9994
#18
1.30.9
6.06.9
Auto0.2
Teleop0.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed