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Red148
367423.1
669620.0
853211.0
Blue35
99965.1
299012.5
412521.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions665102040608010012014014835

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.11.0
24.623.5
Auto8.0
Teleop14.3
End0.8
red by 1.8
4125
#13
21.30.5
22.722.2
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End0.6
Second
20.01.0
20.819.8
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End1.8
red by 7.6
2990
#23
12.50.5
13.212.8
Auto2.5
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Third
8532
#16
11.01.0
12.811.8
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End0.7
red by 5.9
9996
#15
5.10.8
6.15.3
Auto2.7
Teleop1.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsEarned8%Ensemble oddsMissed