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Qual 162024 Storm Surge
Red78
956710.3
404332.4
546822.9
Blue54
999910.0
9556.3
448824.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70310204060801001201407854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4043
#1
32.41.0
31.2→32.2
Auto13.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
red by 8.1
4488
#4
24.41.4
19.6→21.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.5
Second
5468
#2
22.91.0
20.5→21.5
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 12.9
9999
#11
10.02.3
7.3→9.6
Auto0.3
Teleop9.5
End0.1
Third
9567
#21
10.31.0
7.3→8.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 4.0
955
#19
6.31.4
4.5→5.9
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed