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Red65
281126.1
9556.3
669620.0
Blue41
299012.5
7493.8
448824.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6040020801001201401606541

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.1
25.625.5
Auto8.4
Teleop13.3
End4.4
red by 1.7
24.40.0
22.122.0
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.5
Second
20.00.1
20.520.4
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End1.8
red by 7.6
2990
#23
12.50.0
12.612.5
Auto2.5
Teleop9.0
End1.0
Third
955
#19
6.30.1
5.95.7
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
red by 2.5
749
#22
3.80.0
5.05.0
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed