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Red44
99941.3
956710.3
154024.9
Blue69
404332.4
999910.0
367423.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3678020601001201401604469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.90.3
26.125.8
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End3.9
blue by 7.5
32.40.4
32.131.7
Auto13.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
Second
9567
#21
10.30.3
8.37.9
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 12.8
23.10.4
23.423.0
Auto8.0
Teleop14.3
End0.8
Third
9994
#18
1.30.5
3.32.8
Auto0.2
Teleop0.1
End0.8
blue by 8.7
9999
#11
10.00.7
9.68.9
Auto0.3
Teleop9.5
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
26%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed