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Red40
669620.0
13599.7
299012.5
Blue105
273311.2
448824.4
546822.9
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45610208010012040105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.00.2
20.420.2
Auto5.1
Teleop13.2
End1.8
blue by 4.3
24.42.1
22.024.1
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.5
Second
2990
#23
12.50.2
12.512.3
Auto2.5
Teleop9.0
End1.0
blue by 10.5
22.92.1
22.124.2
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
1359
#20
9.70.2
10.09.8
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End2.8
blue by 1.5
2733
#14
11.22.1
9.311.4
Auto5.7
Teleop2.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsEarned