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Qual 252024 Storm Surge
Red55
9556.3
853211.0
644332.7
Blue62
281126.1
634313.8
36369.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515230406070805562

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6443
#3
32.70.6
30.5→31.1
Auto10.7
Teleop20.0
End2.1
red by 6.6
2811
#6
26.10.7
25.5→26.1
Auto8.4
Teleop13.3
End4.4
Second
8532
#16
11.00.6
10.5→11.0
Auto3.2
Teleop7.1
End0.7
blue by 2.8
6343
#7
13.80.7
13.1→13.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End1.8
Third
955
#19
6.30.6
5.7→6.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.3
End1.2
blue by 2.9
3636
#10
9.20.7
8.5→9.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed21%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsMissed