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Red30
214721.7
387613.3
413117.0
Blue47
634314.5
371210.2
60763.5
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51330204060801003047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#13
21.70.9
16.415.5
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
red by 7.2
6343
#17
14.50.3
12.111.8
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Second
4131
#11
17.00.9
17.016.1
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
red by 6.8
3712
#16
10.20.3
10.310.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Third
3876
#28
13.30.9
10.59.6
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 9.8
6076
#27
3.50.5
9.38.7
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed