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Red48
853214.6
96808.9
451317.2
Blue55
683113.4
592011.5
292622.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444220305060704855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.6
17.718.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
blue by 5.6
22.80.5
17.017.4
Auto12.9
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Second
8532
#26
14.60.6
10.511.1
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End0.5
red by 1.3
6831
#10
13.40.5
12.813.2
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Third
9680
#22
8.90.9
11.312.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.2
blue by 2.6
11.50.5
8.28.7
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed