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Red44
357414.3
634314.5
410410.8
Blue51
40618.4
96139.4
412520.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354102060804451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6343
#17
14.50.6
11.812.5
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 6.2
4125
#14
20.70.8
21.922.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.3
Second
3574
#15
14.31.1
11.012.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
red by 4.9
9613
#20
9.40.8
5.36.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Third
4104
#24
10.81.1
9.510.5
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End0.5
red by 2.4
4061
#19
8.40.8
9.210.1
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed