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Red46
406014.4
292622.8
60763.5
Blue52
853214.6
413117.0
371210.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414136384044464850524652

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.80.6
17.418.0
Auto12.9
Teleop9.3
End0.6
red by 5.9
4131
#11
17.00.9
16.116.9
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Second
4060
#18
14.40.6
11.311.9
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
blue by 0.3
8532
#26
14.60.9
11.111.9
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Third
6076
#27
3.50.9
8.79.7
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.1
blue by 6.7
3712
#16
10.20.9
10.010.9
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed