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Red46
498016.1
96139.4
634314.5
Blue59
131824.7
451317.2
159516.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346302040801001204659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.10.8
15.416.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
blue by 8.6
24.70.4
20.120.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.1
Second
6343
#17
14.50.5
12.512.9
Auto3.8
Teleop8.9
End1.8
blue by 2.7
17.20.4
18.218.6
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Third
9613
#20
9.40.5
6.26.6
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 6.9
1595
#12
16.20.6
15.315.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned24%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed50%Ensemble oddsMissed