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Red45
387613.3
357414.3
546815.4
Blue65
592011.5
281130.9
214721.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3561020801004565

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#21
15.40.3
12.813.2
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 15.4
30.90.9
27.728.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.1
End5.9
Second
3574
#15
14.30.5
12.112.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
blue by 7.5
2147
#13
21.70.9
15.516.4
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Third
3876
#28
13.30.3
10.110.4
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 1.8
11.50.9
8.79.6
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed31%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed57%Ensemble oddsEarned