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Red57
644324.0
60763.5
214721.7
Blue64
40618.4
49222.7
413117.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4852304060705764

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.9
18.018.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
red by 1.3
492
#3
22.70.3
20.319.9
Auto9.3
Teleop11.3
End2.1
Second
2147
#13
21.70.9
16.417.2
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
red by 4.8
4131
#11
17.00.2
16.916.7
Auto7.3
Teleop7.9
End1.7
Third
6076
#27
3.51.4
9.711.1
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.1
blue by 4.8
4061
#19
8.40.2
9.79.5
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsEarned33%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
29%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed