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Red40
96808.9
412520.7
592011.5
Blue24
46926.7
410410.8
408918.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4942102030607080904024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4125
#14
20.70.6
23.623.0
Auto7.2
Teleop13.2
End0.3
red by 1.9
18.81.0
17.316.4
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
11.50.6
9.69.0
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
red by 0.7
4104
#24
10.81.6
8.97.2
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Third
9680
#22
8.91.0
10.69.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.2
red by 2.2
4692
#25
6.71.6
12.510.8
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
39%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed22%Ensemble oddsMissed