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Red61
292622.8
131824.7
94386.9
Blue50
387613.3
853214.6
683113.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5237102030607080906150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.71.0
20.521.5
Auto9.0
Teleop12.7
End3.1
red by 10.1
8532
#26
14.60.7
11.912.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Second
22.81.0
18.019.0
Auto12.9
Teleop9.3
End0.6
red by 9.5
6831
#10
13.40.7
12.913.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Third
9438
#23
6.91.0
7.08.0
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 6.4
3876
#28
13.30.7
10.411.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed24%Ensemble oddsMissed