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Red63
281130.9
357414.3
371210.2
Blue55
546815.4
644324.0
406014.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62482030407080901006355

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.6
29.830.4
Auto10.8
Teleop14.1
End5.9
red by 6.8
24.00.7
18.819.5
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
Second
3574
#15
14.31.0
13.514.5
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
blue by 1.2
5468
#21
15.40.7
13.213.8
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Third
3712
#16
10.20.6
10.911.4
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 4.2
4060
#18
14.40.7
13.113.8
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
46%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed