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Red43
546815.4
410410.8
94386.9
Blue63
644324.0
159516.2
96808.9
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30510204060804363

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5468
#21
15.40.6
14.415.0
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
blue by 8.6
24.01.3
19.520.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
Second
4104
#24
10.81.0
6.77.7
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End0.5
blue by 5.4
1595
#12
16.22.1
15.117.3
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
Third
9438
#23
6.90.6
8.38.8
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 2.0
9680
#22
8.92.1
9.111.2
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed