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Red39
371210.2
40618.4
214721.7
Blue39
387613.3
406014.4
292622.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions434902060801003939

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2147
#13
21.7
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
blue by 1.1
22.8
Auto12.9
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Second
3712
#16
10.2
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 4.2
4060
#18
14.4
Auto5.1
Teleop6.2
End3.0
Third
4061
#19
8.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 4.9
3876
#28
13.3
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed